Wednesday, 16 December 2015

Climate Fraud . . . CLIMATEGate and SunSpots

In todays Blog:

  • I raise a couple of questions about "An Inconvenient Truth" that I thought nobody seemed curious about except me 
  • Then talk about whistleblowers and hackers exposing corruption in politics that always seems to catch people by surprise. 
  • Then on to "CLIMATEgate" This happened when a server at the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) was hacked anonymously and what ensued - I mention a book on 'CLIMATEgate' by Brian Sussman which I am busy reading now.
  • Lastly - Alook back in time to the “Little Ice Age” and a more plausible theory about the reason for Global warming. 



Lets just go for a moment to An Inconvenient truth 

The film with Al Gore demonstrating a particular point of view
The official viewpoint it seems. . .
Al Gore - The Saviour of the World? 

After seeing the film I was frankly . . . puzzled. . .


and asked myself a few questions . . .

. . . That nobody else seemed to be asking, which again made me marvel at the passive acceptance of a movie going public that just sits there and when the Media says open wide they do so with all compliancy. . .

Open wide, thats a good consumer . . .

  1. Why is Al Gore, a professional Politician, with no scientific training at all, the principle voice behind this message? The picture boy of climate science.
  2. Shouldn’t a trained professional present the information? A qualified Climatologist or even better, a group of professionals from variously related fields with their respective qualifications presenting each aspect of the issue?
  3. A commercial documentary? We were presented with a very high quality production movie that was a documentary, and not even that, it was a lecture that was filmed and then advertised in the commercial cinemas, usually reserved for films made in Hollywood for the entertainment of the masses, and now we have a documentary on global warming to watch with popcorn and coke. . . a most unusual idea. . .There must have been some serious advertising to get people to choose this rather than the latest blockbuster!
  4. How did it become such a box office success? Are doomsday predictions popular with the public? 
This is the near distant view of Manhattan According to An Inconvenient Truth

Usually documentaries of this nature are put on TV and on not on the movie channel, maybe national Geographic or discovery.

So perhaps some will say: Climate Change and Carbon emissions is so bad now and the problem is so far gone that our altruistic political leaders, so alarmed by the clamouring reports from the scientific establishment, felt that this was the quickest and most effective means for getting the word out.

If this is indeed the case then the idea that we are not close to but right on the edge of a global catastrophe of biblical or . . . at least block-buster proportions.

But I don't trust political leaders. . . And I know that I am not alone.
And
When one mixes politics and science, this means one thing and one thing alone. . .

The Science follows the politics and not the other way round, the funding goes to the scientists who push the correct agenda.

Whats wrong with Politicians?


Er. . .  Plenty

The publics distrust of political leaders and the media that promotes them is not unfounded as we all know.
We have many years of scandals and lies that have been exposed together with allegations and accusations that are suspected but not always proven, but these all fuel the public's mistrust.

Whistle blowers and hackers have periodically come forward with startling disclosures with varying levels of credibility.

Sometimes reports are given the dubious appellation 'Conspiracy theory' which creates  pictures of mentally unstable and gullible people gesticulating wildly and believing anything and everything they read on the internet.

But every so often the facts are presented by some enterprising hackers and whistleblowers who for varying reasons make suppressed evidence public.


For example: The most famous, but by no means only, of these are:


Wikileaks 

Julian Assange, hero or villain depending on your viewpoint famous for blowing the lid off the US military and its criminal activities in the middle east and much more.

In fact it is his disclosures that appear to be a major catalyst in the so called ‘Arab Spring’ when the corrupt government of Tunisia was exposed living the high life and deeply in bed with the US whilst its citizens were in a state of advanced poverty, the wikileaks disclosure sparked off the a revolution that  spread through the whole Moslem world.

The Wikileaks Documentary -- Full Version



Edward Snowden 

A computer professional, former CIA employee, and former government contractor who copied classified information from the United States National Security Agency (NSA) and United Kingdom Government Communications Headquarters (GCHQ) for public disclosure in 2013.

Donald Trump says he's a really bad guy but he is generally regarded as a hero by the American public
Is Edward Snowden an American hero? Vote Here

DOCUMENTARY: Edward Snowden - Terminal F (2015)



CLIMATEgate


The great global warming debate has its own ‘wikileaks’
November 2009 - A server at the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) was hacked anonymously, at the University of East Anglia (UEA) Climatic research unit, possibly an insider.

The emails reveal discussions between the world's top Climate Scientists about hiding the truth of global warming.

The emails were private messages among climate scientists who expressed doubts about the conclusions on the cause of global warming and that global warming had not changed dramatically for the past 15 years.

The response has been furious denials and scornful dismissals. These leaked emails are  nothing more than internal chit chat with the  comments were taken totally out of context.

Michael Mann, director of Pennsylvania State University's Earth System Science Center, called the entire incident a careful, "high-level, orchestrated smear campaign to distract the public about the nature of the climate change problem.

But again questions come to mind like:

  1. Why would these 'Hackers' orchestrate a 'smear campaign? Does anybody wonder at this? What can they gain? Why go to all the trouble of hacking emails and revealing them if there is no real evidence? They are vilified by the media and don't get any money, so why bother f its all a lie?
  2. Why then deliberately quote sections of them out of context, to create a false impression? 
  3. If the contents were so spurious as to be harmless colloquialisms, would it be a good idea to try and manipulate the information so as to appear as if it was as serious as they claim? 
  4. Wouldn't it be a simple task to expose them by simply publishing the emails in the 'correct context?'
  5. Why don't they challenge the skeptics on the basis of the data - have a big debate and compare notes, if the skeptics facts are wrong it should be easy enough to prove.

Just look at this incredible video 

A challenge to debate. . .

On the one hand we have Roy Spencer a climatologist from the university of Alabama, not a conspiracy nut, but an academic well qualified to speak on this issue.

And in the other corner we have . . .  nobody! ! ! They failed to respond to the challenge

why?

The reason given for the other climate alarmists not pitching is. . .  they do not want to debate Roy because this would "give his extreme ideas credibility".

It is clear to me that the reason for the refusal to debate is not only the fact that a qualified scientist will easily debunk their claims but also because they don't want their overlords to see them any where near a debunker because this could put their jobs and/or their funding in jeopardy.

So alarmist, Gavin Schmidt does agree to speak but only after Roy Spencer is removed from the room. . .  ! Does he feel so threatened?

He then delivers the usual mantra's about the causes of global warming and then runs away. Roy Spencer is reasonable and prepared to discuss data in a sensible manner there is no reason for Schmidt not to stay and compare ideas - isn't that a healthy thing for academics to do?

WE can observe the same kind of over-reaction towards the CLMATEgate issue:
The sceptics who are calling for investigation into the disclosures are accused of being involved in a ‘conspiracy’ (seriously?) funded by oil companies and those with vested interests. The bottom line is the IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) and CRU(Climate Research Unit) were seriously embarrassed by this leak and are clearly seen scrambling to regain lost footing

For example: Tom Wigley, a former director of the CRU and now head of the US National Center for Atmospheric Research, condemned the threats that he and other colleagues had received as "truly stomach-turning", and commented: "None of it affects the science one iota. Accusations of data distortion or faking are baseless. I can rebut and explain all of the apparently incriminating e-mails that I have looked at, but it is going to be very time consuming to do so. 

Mainstream climate scientists, such as Richard Somerville, alleges this is a smear campaign. Stephen Schneider compared the political attacks on climate scientists to the witch-hunts of McCarthyism. 

McCarthyism?

This is getting ridiculous now, when one considers the alliance between climate alarmists and the  politicians who back them, who are in turn fully backed worldwide by their governments who have all kinds of taxpayer money available, and have at their disposal all the legal teams they need not to mention a  general public that has been well indoctrinated.

The climate orthodoxy also has the monopoly in Educational institutions and control almost every area of academic study (Even totally unrelated fields of study have access to funding if their study incorporates ‘global warming’ somewhere in their applications for study grants)

They represent the establishment, so the ‘witch hunters' they cry for protection against are a minority of scientists and academicians and journalists who would be refused funding from the major educational institutions for not supporting the current orthodoxy, how then exactly is this a ‘witch hunt’ relating to the Mcarthy era? (in which the politicians and military government and police were the edifice united in their paranoid persecution of so called 'communist threat in America')

Logic calls for suspicion,  in the face of this strange backlash which seems a little hysterical for people who are supposedly confident in their ideas. If the data and science are sound there is no need for panic, but the silly rhetoric about “ the stomach turning allegations from the witch hunters” is quite hilarious if it weren’t so worrying, what are these people trying to hide?

After all - 99% of scientists agree right? what is there to worry about from a few crackpots? If I had science and truth on my side I wouldn't worry about somebody ‘taking comments out of context’,  I would simply challenge them to examine the data which by virtue of being correct should withstand all  objective scrutiny. . .

But will it?

Unless there is some basis to the allegations. . .

Brian Sussman

American conservative talk radio host and former meteorologist in the San Francisco Bay area. He currently hosts the Morning Show on radio station KSFO

The term ‘Climategate was coined by journalist James Delingpole drawing a deliberate connection to Nixon's dirty tricks campaign in the 70's in which he was caught red-handed and lost the presidency and a lot more. . .

in 2010 Sussman wrote: Climategate: A Veteran Meteorologist Exposes the Global Warming Scam.

It was released nationally during a televised interview on the Sean Hannity show and immediately became a bestseller.  His current book, Eco-Tyranny, was released April 17, and also became a bestseller.

Research

It is so shocking that we live in the age where information is so easy to find and yet people do not bother to make the effort to study. It is incredible to me when discussing tricky topics like this,  most people haven't done any research at all and yet have such strong opinions about it. If you ask them what exactly have they read or watched, it is probably a couple of news programs and 'An inconvenient truth'.

My suspicions were aroused when I saw how much importance the politicians place on a particular point of view, this is a red flag to me since politicians are all about money, control and centralisation of power. Nobody seems perturbed about the enormous wealth Al Gore enjoys as a direct result of his environmental campaigns and we shall see that he has huge financial interests which he needs to fuel his private jet and fleet of carbon spewing vehicles.

Brian Sussman also calls for research by people because they could be victims of 'historical revisionism', and he complains that 'those waving the green banner of global warming have as little respect for history as Marx did'.
No one living to day was present to witness the hysteria over global cooling at the beginning of the 20th Century. There were newspaper reports all predicting a new ice age. How fascinating that this media campaign sold newspapers like hotcakes people seem to love doomsday reports.

Just after the Titanic sunk in 1912,  there was a news report in the Times from a professor Schmidt of Cornell University who warned of an encroaching ice age. The world will need scientific knowledge "To combat the perils" of the next ice age he proclaimed.

What is so interesting is to compare the rhetoric of Dr Schmidt and others on the predicted ice age with with the global warming alarmists today predicting the opposite. The ice age proponents simply sold a lot of newspapers and was conveniently shelved by the 1930's when temperatures began rising, setting records which have in many cases have yet to be broken.

The Little Ice Age and Global Cooling 

Dr. Syun-Ichi Akasofu 


Director of the International Arctic Research Center of the University of Alaska Fairbanks since its establishment in 1998.

 Professor of Geophysics since 1964. Dr. Akasofu has published more than 550 professional journal articles, authored and co-authored 10 books and has been the invited author of many encyclopedia articles.

He is certainly well qualified scientifically to present his perspective on climate change. He has completed several articles on this subject; e.g.


  • Why has global warming become such a passionate subject?
  • Let's not lose our cool.

and

  • Is the Earth still recovering from the A Little Ice Age?
  • A possible cause of global warming


His argument is basically this:


The climate is not warming because we have pumped ever-accumulating amounts of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere.

One possible cause of the linear increase may be that the Earth is still recovering from the Little Ice Age. World glaciers and sea ice in the Arctic Ocean have been receding since 1800 or earlier; these are not just recent phenomena. It seems to me that most climate researchers are so caught up in the CO2 effect, the Little Ice Age has been all but forgotten.  More Here


The Little Ice Age

The height of the Little Ice Age is generally dated as 1650 to 1850 A.D. The American Revolutionary Army under General George Washington shivered at Valley Forge in the winter of 1777-78, and New York harbor was frozen in the winter of 1780. Historic snowstorms struck Lisbon, Portugal in 1665, 1744 and 1886. Glaciers in Glacier National Park in Montana advanced until the late 18th or early 19th centuries. The last River Thames Frost Fair was held in 1814. The Little Ice Age phased out during the middle to late 19th century.
In the midst of the Little Ice Age's colder than average climate, Europe and North America went into a deep freeze: alpine glaciers extended over valley farmland, sea ice crept south from the Arctic, and the famous canals in the Netherlands froze regularly—an event that is rare today. In London, ice festivals were held on the frozen Themes and in New York City people could walk to Manhattan and Staten Island on the ice. On the down side, crops failed and many died of the cold.

Sun Spots and Global Warming

The Little Ice Age, following the historically warm temperatures of the Medieval Warm Period, which lasted from about AD 950 to 1250, has been attributed to natural cycles in solar activity, particularly sunspots.

A period of sharply lower sunspot activity known as the Wolf Minimum began in 1280 and persisted for 70 years until 1350. That was followed by a period of even lower sunspot activity that lasted 90 years from 1460 to 1550 known as the Sporer Minimum. During the period 1645 to 1715, the low point of the Little Ice Age, the number of sunspots declined to zero for the entire time. This is known as the Maunder Minimum, named after English astronomer Walter Maunder.

That was followed by the Dalton Minimum from 1790 to 1830, another period of well below normal sunspot activity.

Ocean Temperature Cycles

The increase in global temperatures since the late 19th century just reflects the end of the Little Ice Age. The global temperature trends since then have followed not rising CO2 trends but the ocean temperature cycles of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO). Every 20 to 30 years, the much colder water near the bottom of the oceans cycles up to the top, where it has a slight cooling effect on global temperatures until the sun warms that water. That warmed water then contributes to slightly warmer global temperatures, until the next churning cycle.

Why global temperatures declined from 1945 - 1970 when they should have Increased

Those ocean temperature cycles, and the continued recovery from the Little Ice Age, are primarily why global temperatures rose from 1915 until 1945, when CO2 emissions were much lower than in recent years. The change to a cold ocean temperature cycle, primarily the PDO, is the main reason that global temperatures declined from 1945 until the late 1970s, despite the soaring CO2 emissions during that time from the postwar industrialization spreading across the globe.

The increased temperature from 1970's - 1990's . . . and then?

The 20 to 30 year ocean temperature cycles turned back to warm from the late 1970s until the late 1990s, which is the primary reason that global temperatures warmed during this period. But that warming ended 15 years ago, and global temperatures have stopped increasing since then, if not actually cooled, even though global CO2 emissions have soared over this period.

 The Economist magazine reported in March

“The world added roughly 100 billion tonnes of carbon to the atmosphere between 2000 and 2010. That is about a quarter of all the CO2 put there by humanity since 1750.” Yet, still no warming during that time. That is because the CO2 greenhouse effect is weak and marginal compared to natural causes of global temperature changes.


The Decline of Sun Spot Activity

The number of sunspots increase and decrease over time in a regular, approximately 11-year cycle, called the solar or sunspot cycle. The exact length of the cycle can vary. More sunspots mean increased solar activity—flares and CMEs. The highest number of sun spots in any given cycle is designated “solar maximum,” while the lowest number is designated “solar minimum.”

This fact has led many scientists to believe that the future forecast is more likely to be a cooler earth  The Voice of Russia reported on April 22, 2013,

“Global warming which has been the subject of so many discussions in recent years, may give way to global cooling. According to scientists from the Pulkovo Observatory in St.Petersburg, solar activity is waning, so the average yearly temperature will begin to decline as well. Scientists from Britain and the US chime in saying that forecasts for global cooling are far from groundless.”
Taken from here

Scholarly article called Little Ice Age II, The Sequel?

Global Temperature has not been rising for 15 years

Even the UN’s alarmist Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has had to finally admit that global temperatures have been flat for at least 16 years despite rising atmospheric CO2 levels. IPCC has also confessed that their theoretical simulation models have grossly exaggerated climate sensitivity to CO2. As a result, those social costs resulting from human-caused climate change are at least one-third less (and more likely 100 percent less) than those in the administration’s calculations.


The headlines just keep on coming 


Climate scientists told to coverup the fact that Earths temperatures have not risen for 15-years: 

Article from the  Daily Mail

One possible cause of the linear increase may be that the Earth is still recovering from the Little Ice Age. World glaciers and sea ice in the Arctic Ocean have been receding since 1800 or earlier; these are not just recent phenomena. It seems to me that most climate researchers are so caught up in the CO2 effect, the Little Ice Age has been all but forgotten.risen for the last 15 years

A leaked copy of a United Nations report, compiled by hundreds of scientists, shows politicians in Belgium, Germany, Hungary and the United States raised concerns about the final draft.
Published next week, it is expected to address the fact that 1998 was the hottest year on record and world temperatures have not yet exceeded it, which scientists have so far struggled to explain.
The report is the result of six years’ work by UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which is seen as the world authority on the extent of climate change and what is causing it – on which governments including Britain’s base their green policies. Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2425775/Climate-scientists-told-cover-fact-Earths-temperature-risen-15-years.html#ixzz3toEqunQI

Even on Main stream news shows:

On climate change, "the temperature readings have been fabricated, and it's all blowing up in their (scientists') faces."— Dana Perino on Monday, February 9th, 2015 in a broadcast of "The Five" on Fox News http://www.politifact.com/punditfact/statements/2015/feb/13/dana-perino/fox-news-host-climate-scientists-fabricated-temper/


Next : I will have a look at the Polar ice caps that . . . don't seem to be melting!  after all those dire predictions! 

Also: Whats happening to all those poor stranded Polar Bears -  who by all accounts appear to be thriving!! 






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